2011 Market Outlook
Mountain Capital Group | Oct 16, 2011 | 0 comments
- 2011 NAI Rank: 14, Up 7 Places. Tight vacancy and healthy employment gains helped push up Denver seven places in the 2011 ranking.
- Employment Forecast: Denver payrolls will rise by 24,000 positions in 2011, a 2 percent gain. Growth resumed in 2010 after two years of contraction, with local employment expanding by 0.5 percent.
- Construction Forecast: Only 800 units are slated for completion in 2011, down from 2,550 units last year.
- Vacancy Forecast: Reduced construction and accelerating job growth will support an 80 basis point decrease in vacancy to 5 percent this year. During 2010, vacancy declined 220 basis points.
- Rent Forecast: Asking rents will rise 3.1 percent in 2011 to $906 per month, while effective rents will climb 4.1 percent to $816 per month.
- Investment Forecast: With investors focusing on distressed deals and high-quality performing assets, many Class B/C properties in secondary and tertiary locations could be overlooked. These complexes may present strong acquisition opportunities for buyers with longer-term hold strategies, as some owners with maturing debt will need to adjust prices in order to minimize marketing times.
Market Forecast Employment: 2.0% ▲ Construction: 1,750 ▼ Vacancy: 80 bps ▼ Effective Rents: 4.1% ▲
Filed Under: Apartment Market

